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The Gold Market, U.S. Business Confidence/Job Creation - StockReserchPortal.com

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January 20, 2010

Good Morning:

The Gold Market, U.S. Business Confidence/Job Creation

Mining and Petroleum Search Engines

I learned this morning that the SearchMining and SearchPetroleum search engines found at the upper right of StockResearchPortal.com's Home Page are attracting increasing tiem and attention from our website's visitors and Subscribers.  We think these are very useful tools for investors and traders in mining and oil & gas stocks, and recommend you use them if you are not doing that.

Is Gold The World's Largest Physical Commodity Market

An article by Adrian Douglas, publisher of Market Force Analysis Financial Letter and a member of the Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee's ('GATA') Board of Directors, titled 'The 'tiny' gold market is actually the world's biggest' says the 'tiny gold market' is in fact the world's biggest physically traded commodity market.  In summary, the article says:

·    the London Bullion Market Association ('LBMA') 'over-the-counter' gold market trades approximately 90% of the world's physical gold trade - click here to see the amount of physical gold sold each day;

·    the value of the LBMA daily trading for November 2009 is given as $22 billion, which Douglas says is a 'daily' and not 'monthly' amount;.

·    world daily crude oil consumption is 82 million barrels, which at U.S.$77 per barrel is $6.3 billion each day, about 30% of the gold dollar value traded at November, 2009 gold prices;

·    in a GATA dispatch in October 2009 analyst Paul Mylchreest estimated that the gross volume of gold traded on the LBMA each day was about 2,100 metric tones - equating to about $77 billion each day at 1,150 per ounce.  This versus NYMEX WTI crude oil gross value traded of about $31 billion per day;

·    Douglas thinks that it is impossible for the LBMA to have enough gold in its vaults to trade such large daily volumes - inferring the LBMA is operating a fractional reserve system and has sold much more gold than it has or could ever have;

·    if I have it right, Douglas thinks that where people buy and sell gold without ever taking delivery there is the opportunity for the bullion houses to sell gold that doesn't exist, and that "this is the basis of the 'strong dollar policy' that allows interest rates to be lower than they should be, and in turn lowers the price of commodities and imports as it artificially enhances the dollar's buying power"; and,

·    he concludes that investors in precious metals should take delivery of their bullion, because if they don't in due course they might discover investments they thought they had in gold are just promissory notes.

Reverting to one of my continuing mantras, I consider this to be a real 'think for yourself' article - and strongly recommend you read the entire article carefully and in context by clicking here.

U.S. Business Confidence, Job Creation

An article this morning titled 'In Just The Last Week, Job Creation And Business Confidence Tumbled Again' says the lastest Gallup survey confirms "the bump nature of the recovery" in circumstances where U.S.:

·    job creation deteriorated last week, with the Gallup Job Creation Index at -2, down from the +1 of the prior week. Hiring was down slightly as 23% of employees reported their companies were hiring compared with 24% the prior week.  At the same time, slightly more companies (25%) were letting people go compared with the previous week (23%);

·    economic confidence worsened, with Gallup's Economic Confidence Index at -29, down from -22 the prior week. Economic confidence is essentially back where it was last month after showing improvement during each of the past three weeks; while,

·    consumer spending was unchanged last week with self-reported daily spending in stores, restaurants, gas stations, and online averaging $68, up from $64 from January, 2009.

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As always, please forward ideas to me as to how we can improve StockResearchPortal.com at info@stockresearchportal.com.

Best Regards,

Ian R. Campbell's Signature

Ian R. Campbell
President
StockResearchPortal.com

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